I bring out the camera, and Bella always poses.
Today I pedaled 19.6 miles on my Schwinn 170. (Yes, this is a recording, and it could not get any more boring than this.) My updates – Grand total = 25,512.8 miles; 41,059.0 kilometers; Part V total = 611.2 miles; 983.6 kilometers.
I have now completed, virtually of course in a real way, sort-of, 20.5% of the distance between Taxco and Wabash Craters.
Wish List –
At $3,323 I think I will get 2 sets.
CNNStyle – (Sep 4, 2016), Stella Ko – “Designer penciles? Inside Karl Lagerfeld’s $3,000 Art Kit”
We’re working and re-working our new quilt “TBD”. The top/background has been sewn. Now to begin attaching the elements of our design.
13 Tips For Reading General Election Polls Like A Pro”, Harry Enten, Sep. 2,
- Beware of polls tagged “bombshells” or “stunners”
- Instead, take an average.
- Look for pools that use live interviewers; they have a better track record.
- Know the polling firm – some are waaay betters than others.
- Beware the unskewers.
- Check what the pollster said previously. Some pollsters’ results lean more towards one part or the other.
- Consider the motives of the media reporting on the polls.
- Check to see if the poll includes third-party candidates.
- Margin of error and sample size matter less than who’s in the sample, thought be wary if the sample size is smaller than 400.
- Don’t get crazy about the Electoral College.
- Still, aggregating the state polls usually provide a better idea of who is going to win than the national polls.
- If the polls shift after the debates…wait. Short-term shifts in polls often reverse themselves.
- Even at the end of the campaign, the polls probably won’t perfectly predict the results.
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Have a healthy day and smile,